L*, con un apellido emblemático en la historia del conservadurismo español del siglo XX, me invita a cenar en L’Atelier de Joël Robuchon, por razones que no vienen al caso; y, para empezar, me anuncia: “Todo lo veo fatal. Por vez primera en mi vida, creo que no votaré al PP. Lo que han hecho a Gallardón y las listas de Madrid solo me incitan a quedarme en casa o votar por…”
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Las dudas de L* parecen coincidir con las conjeturas del Economist sobre Zapatero y Rajoy:
THE surprise ingredient in the Spanish election of March 2004 was the Madrid train bombings, which killed 191 commuters just three days before the vote. Thanks to the clumsiness of the outgoing People’s Party (PP) government, which tried to blame Basque terrorists, not Islamist radicals, the bombs provoked an unexpected change.
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This time, too, a surprise ingredient has arrived ahead of the March 9th poll. But, despite the recent arrest in Barcelona of 14 Muslim immigrants suspected of planning fresh attacks, it has nothing to do with Islam. After four years in which Spain’s politicians have argued bitterly about almost everything else, the new ingredient is the economy.
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The political question is whether voters will punish Mr Zapatero for their gnawing sense of uncertainty, or prefer him as the man to lead them through hard times. [ .. ] Nor has the treatment of one leading PP centrist, Alberto Ruiz-Gallardón, a popular mayor of Madrid, helped.
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Critics say Mr Rajoy lacks the strength of a candidate who has had to fight to the top. [The Economist, 24 / 25 ene. 08. Zapatero’s bear fight].
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