“Es muy improbable que la UE acepte una declaración unilateral de independencia”. “Tiempo de confusión para Cataluña”.

 

[ .. ]

El Economist describe con bastante precisión el duelo a garrotazos en curso. Subrayando que ambas partes caminan hacia ninguna parte:

The obstacles, indeed, are huge. Attempts to create separate state institutions may fall foul of the Spanish Constitutional Court. Mr Mas does not have the power to call a referendum, and Mr Rajoy’s government refuses to negotiate. The country’s constitution is an even bigger stumbling block. It guarantees “the indissoluble unity of the Spanish nation”. Major changes to the constitution require a vote of two-thirds of the Madrid parliament and approval at a nationwide referendum. That would leave Mr Mas’s separatists with a tough choice. They would have to either persuade Spaniards to let them go or ignore the law and declare independence unilaterally. The EU—to which Catalans remain deeply attached—is unlikely to welcome that.

Mr Mas recognises that, in historical terms, the shift of Catalan nationalism towards independence (rather than greater self-government within Spain) is relatively new. He blames Madrid’s intransigence. Mr Rajoy blames the economy for the surge in support for separatism, but Spain’s nascent recovery has so far made little change to popular opinion; polls put support for independence at about 50%. Mr Rajoy has yet to make any serious offer to calm Catalan ire, and with a general election at the end of next year he is running out of time.
Mr Rajoy argues that, when asked about their main concerns, Catalans put the economy above independence. Plebiscitary elections will do nothing to fix the former. Madrid, in turn, is not prepared to fix the latter. Catalans are in for messy times… The Economist, 4 diciembre 2014, Mr Mas throws down the gauntlet.

Las negritas son mías.

Inmovilismo, cerrazón, parálisis / crisis institucional permanente… Duelo a garrotazos que agrava la angustia social, agrava todas las tensiones, agrava el deseo de acabar / romper, a cualquier precio, para intentar acabar (en vano) con un Duelo a garrotazos que es la matriz cultural y política de las Españas.

“Esa amenazada comunidad de seres humanos unidos en la incertidumbre, condenados a cohabitar en la rama de un árbol que tiene enfermas sus raíces, quizá podridas, recuerda con ferocidad las pulsiones cainitas que se cernían sobre el Estado español a principios del siglo XXI…”.