El Economist percibe un equilibrio de fragmentaciones inmovilistas.

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Cuyo costo social y económico es bien conocido: España / Cataluña invertebradas: menos confianza, más deudas, más pobreza.

Equilibrio de fragmentaciones inmovilistas que el semanario financiero más influyente del mundo describe con precisión clínica:

… According to the coalition accord, Mr Puigdemont will now lead the Catalan government on an 18-month “road map” to independence. Yet Spain’s constitution does not allow any move towards secession, nor are there plans for a referendum on it. The acting government in Madrid, led by Mariano Rajoy’s conservative Popular Party (PP), has vowed to apply the full weight of the law as soon as it sees the constitution under threat.

The question is whether Catalans will support an avowedly confrontational government. Mr Mas billed the regional elections as the referendum on independence that Madrid had refused to call. His Together for Yes coalition and CUP, which both backed the road map, jointly won more than half the seats—but only 48% of the vote. Even many separatists doubt that is enough. The ugly infighting of recent weeks and the radical antics of CUP are unlikely to have boosted support any further.

The separatists’ ranks have swollen dramatically over the past half-dozen years. This has been the result, in part, of Mr Rajoy’s refusal to concede any Catalan demands for greater self-government. Most important, says Mr Sánchez, it is younger voters who are keenest on independence. That bodes well for the future of separatism. Much depends on how the central government in Madrid responds.

Unfortunately, Spain’s general election on December 20th left parliament so fractured that forming a government could take months, or require new elections. Catalonia may have a new president, but the question of its independence is not much closer to being resolved… The Economist, 15 enero 2015. Catalonia’s new president Rebel, Rebel A province edging away from Spain gets a radical secessionist leader.

Las negritas son mías.

Pronto hará ¡diez años..! El Economist pide referendos en Euskadi y Cataluña.

Constitución, financiación del Estado, modelo político: diez años de reformas pendientes.